Weekend Outlook- Warmer and Rain

If you are sick of the cold air and winter (judging by my facebook and twitter feeds you are), warmer times are ahead as we enter the middle of February.  There is a chance for some light snow showers this evening, mainly north of the pike.  Temperatures will rise overnight as high pressure moves offshore and winds shift to the south, bringing mild air into New England for Saturday.  While Saturday looks more dry than wet, moderate to heavy rain arrives overnight Saturday into Sunday AM and continues most of the day.  Given the abundance of precipitation since the start of the year, a few rivers may approach flood stage by Sunday evening.

General Overview

Temperatures this after will get to near normal levels after the cold start.  Highs will be in the low to mid 30’s.

NWS NDFD Max Temps through Friday 7 PM (image WeatherModels.com)

Temperatures will drop into the low 20’s by 10 PM, before beginning to rise around midnight as the southerly flow becomes established.  There is a decent snowstorm moving through the Midwest and Great Lakes today but most of that energy will be shifted into Northern New England tonight.

13z HRRR Simulated Radar Saturday 2 AM (image WeatherModels.com)

There may be a few slick spots early Saturday AM in the typical cold locations that stay below freezing most of the night.  A shower or two is possible in Southern New England as a warm front lifts across the region.

WPC Surface Fronts/Precipitation Saturday 7 AM

Temperatures will spike into the mid to upper 40’s Saturday.  A few spotty showers will be possible during the afternoon.

12z NAM Hires Simulated Radar Saturday 3 PM (image WeatherModels.com)

Precipitation will increase around midnight as the first wave of moderate rain reaches Southern New England.  Rain will continue throughout the day Sunday, heavy at times.  It will be raw with temperatures in the upper 30’s/low 40’s.  All in all, 1-2″ of rain is expected through Monday AM.   Wind won’t be a major factor inland, but gusts of 40-50 MPH may be possible across the South Coast Cape and Islands during the heaviest rain bands.

12z NAM Hires Simulated Radar Sunday 1 AM to 7 PM (image WeatherModels.com)

Nothing like a cold, soaking rain on the first Sunday without football.

-Zack Green

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